Never Tell Me The Odds…Except For Joe Mixon Scoring Five Touchdowns, Tell Me Those Odds – Fantasy Games Won Week 9 Update

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

Last year, we saw Jonathan Taylor score 5 touchdowns in Week 11. It was in that game that he effectively surpassed Derrick Henry as the consensus next-year-first-overall-pick at RB.

That’s not the case for Joey Mix. Through the first 8 games, he was hurting fantasy lineups more than he was helping them, with a -0.07 FGW throughout.

After this week? He’s into the 2nd round – #23 overall in FGW. Because believe it or not, only 15 players have created more wins for their average fantasy team this season than Mixon did in one game (where he just scored 0.48, basically bringing your team from 50% chance of win to 98%, all by himself.)

If Mixon had another 5-touchdown game, he’d be up into the top 10 for the season.

The reason I find this interesting is it shows how rare it is that a player goes out there and genuinely wins your fantasy team some games. Most players either help just a little bit each week, or they mix in helpful and hurtful outings, or are just below average and only get started because the free agents are even worse.

If you have a player capable of scoring 5 touchdowns in a given week – you start them whenever they’re healthy. If that doesn’t sound appealing, probably don’t draft the next version of Will Fuller (Will Fuller VI?), because he’ll be on your bench for the big one.

Who Won The Week?

  • Since I started recording FGW way back in…last year…this is the #2 highest scoring single week by any player. When Jonathan Taylor had a higher score, I mentioned that it was the 7th highest scoring day in fantasy football history. Mixon beat Taylor in points this past week, but a 99% for Mixon started vs. 100% for Taylor keeps Mixon below him on the list. Those poor, unfortunate souls that benched Mixon need to have their say.
  • New England Defense or, should I say, Defense Playing Sam Ehlinger. If you haven’t checked to see if the Raiders defense is available, you must enjoy losing.
  • Justin Fields reminds me of (enter generic running QB of choice here)…Bobby Douglass. Nobody said him, yet right? Especially since Kaepernick impressions are now out of bounds.
  • While we’re on the topic of awkward dinner table conversation, it’s starting to look like Kenneth Walker will invited to sit at the table with the other legitimately very good Seahawks RBs like Shaun Alexander, Marshawn Lynch, Ricky Watters, Chris Carson, and Chris Warren. Meanwhile Rashaad Penny is at the kids’ table with fellow splashes-in-pans Thomas Rawls, Justin Forsett, and CJ Prosise. Christine Michael is eating outside on the porch.
  • Cool to see Sam Ehlinger’s old target Devin Duvernay with enough fantasy usage to enable him to hit the red list.
  • Aaron Jones isn’t going to let AJ Dillon be the only disappointing Packers RB this year.

Leaderboard Updates

  • Damnit, I’m drafting a 33 year old tight end in the 2nd round next year, aren’t I Because anything is better than owning Kyle Pitts again. My God.
  • Tyreek Hill about to have another 2 point game soon. Then a 30 pointer to cancel it out.
  • I want to get off Davante Adams’ Wild Ride.
  • DJ Moore back on the DJ Floor.
  • David Montgomery has been very sneakily very bad this year. Like he’s running a scheme where he’s robbing the store owner by rounding every sale.
  • He learned his craft from Diontae Johnson.
  • Isn’t this the time of year when the Tom Brady redemption arc begins?

Unlike the sneaky players that keep entering your lineup and bleeding you dry of wins, this week I went back and looked at the players that missed out on the most FGW by way of bench-riding in fantasy lineups.

Bonus List – Most Wasted Fantasy Value Of The Year

  • These are the players that when someone says “X was great last year” you, as someone that owned the player, say “nope, he sucked, total headache.
  • My favorite feature on this list is Tyler Boyd. Seriously, has anyone actually started Tyler Boyd when he had a big game? If you say you have, I don’t believe you.
  • K9 the first 2022 rookie in the top 20. Stud.
  • I’m so frustrated with CEH that I didn’t even bother fixing the cell width for his last name. He’s doing the Legion of Last Names dirty.
  • Russell Wilson – Mr. Unlimited…please try to limit the damage you do to fantasy teams this decade.
  • Ironically, if Jonathan Taylor hadn’t been so good last year, the regression curve wouldn’t be grading him so harshly this year.
  • Might seem crazy, but you were almost as well off building your team around your 9th round pick this year as your 3rd round pick. I knew this would be the case, which is why I centered my best team around Cole Kmet. Hey, that’s a board game! Definitely had my share of “blood and sand” because of that guy.

If it turns out you were the 1% of people that benched Joe Mixon, because 3PO told you the odds, just know we’re all going down in this spaceship together. It’s been a privilege and an honor.

Good luck in Week 10!

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