What is FGW? Check out the full lowdown here or watch the video here.
TL;DR – FGW is the number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team, on average. dFGW is FGW adjusted for draft ADP rank.
Can you take me higher?
Creed (probably)
To a place where QBs read…
Can you take me higher?
To a place with full route trees…
Blog update for November 2023 – I was signed to a practice squad! My heaviest analysis now gets loaded on FantasyPros. Check out this week’s article HERE.
I’ve been meaning to do an analysis on Fantasy Football stacks for a while. This past week I actually did the math on the two top stacks of the week – Prescott/Lamb and Herbert/Allen – and surprisingly, the better stack came back as Herbert/Allen.
The reason this is surprising is both Prescott and Lamb matched or outperformed than Herbert and Allen, respectively. The reason Prescott/Lamb comes out as worse by FGW is because Prescott’s percent started number drags down their stack’s impact.
It also may feel counter-intuitive to say Prescott/Lamb gets a score of 0.40 while Lamb by himself is 0.39. What’s up with that?
Prescott/Lamb feels like it should be much better than Lamb by himself because Prescott was much better than an average QB. But this measurement is purely the Prescott/Lamb stack, so it’s ignoring the 17% of the time someone may have started Lamb and benched Prescott.
Do I think FGW shows the whole picture here? Not really. But I’m not sure the calculation is wrong, either. My logical brain is in conflict with my gut. Before that conflict results in internal bleeding, let’s rip through Week 10.
Fantasy Games Won: Director’s Cut
- I keep hoping to figure out another Board Game namesake to go with Amon-Ra (Amun Re) and Cole Kmet (Kemet). There are a lot of Viking themed games, so maybe Hockenson is one by default. 878 Vikings it is!
- I hope nobody gave up on Jahmyr Gibbs during the referendum on Lions’ workload division. Now we just need the same thing to happen in Atlanta where the rookie finally gets the run.
- Kittle with another week to contribute to high-variance. Anyone hear from Brandon Aiyuk lately?
- Time for Hopkins managers to hang up the Levi’s. Our Will Levis has holes in the knees. Someone get Andy Lee out of retirement so we can put some jeans on again.
- Trevor Lawrence spent most of the season being slightly below average. 2.1 points is way more than slightly below.
- Guess it’s time to finally watch the Terminator sequels, so I can stay on point with Derrick Henry allegories.
- Brandin Cooks is still only 30. What.
- Only 6% of fantasy managers boarded Noah’s ark this week.
- Last time Brian Robinson did this (week 2) his percent started shot up to 82%. Probably gonna happen again. Maybe he’ll score more than 7 points this time.
Leaderboard Updates
- Interesting that Etienne has a really bad game, but is still 1-2 really bad games away from falling to RB3.
- Week 10 was to Keenan Allen as…They Came Together was to Kenan Thompson. Justin Herbert is Amy Poehler in this analogy. Quentin Johnston is Paul Rudd.
- I will be very happy when all the kickers are gone from the ROI list. Then, nobody will notice when I drop them from the metric entirely.
- Trevor Lawrence spent most of the season being slightly below average. There wasn’t a huge need to bench him – he always had a chance to turn it around. Better than a lot of free agents, at least. 2.1 points, however, is way more than slightly below average.
- Lawrence killing your team slowly, and then all at once, is probably going to ensure he gets Least Valuable Player.
- Will Trevor Lawrence prove to be more damaging to fantasy teams than Nick Chubb’s knee ligaments? Or whatever happened with Burrow on Thursday night? Only the next few weeks will tell.
Remember the Titans was Just OK
Starting Trevor “Sunshine” Lawrence through the first half of the season was a lot like watching Remember the Titans – not a particularly great movie, but you put it on because there wasn’t usually a better option in the genre. If your team is in need of a cliche run thru the woods to come together, just remember we’re all going down in this fantasy football ship together. It’s been a privilege and an honor, good luck in Week 11.
Byron Cobalt's Lazy Analysis 