Tag: Ja'Marr Chase

Ja’Marr Chase, The Most Talented WR in Football, Has Been The Worst Fantasy Asset of 2023 – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 2 Update

What is FGW? Check out the full lowdown here or watch the video here.

TL;DR – FGW is the number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team, on average. dFGW is FGW adjusted for draft ADP rank.

Going into 2023, I had a slightly uncommon #1 player on my fantasy board. I don’t have a projections model, so I had basically every other projections model to go by, but with my reasoning layered on top:

  • I didn’t like McCaffrey at the top spot because of his injury history and the risk of sharing the load in SF more than he ever did in Carolina
  • I didn’t like Ekeler at the top spot because I thought he took a bit of a step back in 2023, and it felt odd taking a player 1st in 2023 that was a worse prospect than his 3rd overall pick 2022 version (I know I’m falling for baseline/anchoring fallacy here, but I digress)
  • Between Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase, I believe Chase is the most talented WR in the NFL, and has more upside than Jefferson. So Chase was my pick.

Before we get into the pungent season that Chase has had so far, let’s dig into that “most talented” claim…

Continue reading “Ja’Marr Chase, The Most Talented WR in Football, Has Been The Worst Fantasy Asset of 2023 – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 2 Update”

In One Game, Ja’Marr Chase Became The 6th Best Fantasy Asset of 2021 – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Season Recap

What is FGW? Check it out here:
https://byroncobalt.com/2021/09/19/introducing-the-fantasy-game-wins-fgw-fantasy-football-player-scoring-system/

I realized this week that “Fantasy Games Won”, as I conceived it, is really a regular season metric. The original logic for coming up with it went like this:

  1. Points are an incomplete measure of fantasy success, because not all points are scored have an equal impact on your chances of winning. What matters is your chances of winning.
  2. You can calculate the impact a player has on your chances of winning games, and track that across a full season instead.

I was missing the logical conclusion to this train of thought:

Regular season wins only matter insofar as they increase your chances of winning a championship.

Continue reading “In One Game, Ja’Marr Chase Became The 6th Best Fantasy Asset of 2021 – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Season Recap”