Statistics – Page 3 – Byron Cobalt's Lazy Analysis

Don’t Use Points To Judge Fantasy Football Value – Fantasy Games Won Launch 2023

To all of you that are new here – welcome to Fantasy Games Won 2023! Fantasy Games Won (FGW) is the both the name of a metric I invented in 2021 (officially, anyway) and an accompanying series of blog posts I started up at the same time.

Well, series of videos as well. As of today I am live on YouTube!

If you prefer video to my attempt at written English, here ya go.

There are some small tweaks to the metric this year. But before I get into those, let’s recap on what this metric is trying to do and how it accomplises that goal.

I described this once back in 2021 on launch, but I will do what’s new here.

Why Do We Need Fantasy Games Won?

A Decade Ago I Started Mocking “Devy” Drafts – Here’s How 2017 Went

Devy League:
A Fantasy League Where You Draft "Developmental/Devy" Players, i.e. players that are not yet declared for the NFL Draft

If you want to go back to beyond “a decade ago” – see here for the 2012 opening piece.

So as to keep the quality of content high, I’m going to hold 2018+ until next offseason. So we will probably be back before The Winds of Winter.

To bring everyone up to speed…

A Decade Ago I Started Mocking “Devy” Drafts – Here’s How 2016 Went

Devy League:
A Fantasy League Where You Draft "Developmental/Devy" Players, i.e. players that are not yet declared for the NFL Draft

If you want to go back to beyond “a decade ago” – see here for the 2012 opening piece. Picking up the pace here as I only published the most recent one last week!

To bring everyone up to speed…

A Decade Ago I Started Mocking “Devy” Drafts – Here’s How 2015 Went

Devy League:
A Fantasy League Where You Draft "Developmental/Devy" Players, i.e. players that are not yet declared for the NFL Draft

If you want to go back to beyond “a decade ago” – see here for the 2012 opening piece. Picking up the pace here as I only published the most recent one last week!

To bring everyone up to speed…

Fantasy Zombies Showed Up For The Finale, But Did It Matter? – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Season Awards

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

TL:DR; – FGW is the likely number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team. dFGW is FGW adjusted for ADP.

Quick Note – I had been planning to post this the day after the fantasy season ended, but waited a few days, for obvious reasons. Hello to the crazy people with Week 18 championship games.

If The Walking Dead finale was good, but nobody really watched, does it matter?

If Mike Evans and Tom Brady balled out in Week 17, but nobody started them in the championship, does it matter?

‘Twas The Day Before Christmas When Throughout The Playoffs, Fantasy Man’gers Were Handing Out Layoffs – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 15 Update

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

TL:DR; – FGW is the likely number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team. dFGW is FGW adjusted for ADP.

‘Twas the day before Christmas, when throughout the playoffs,
Fantasy Man’gers were handing out layoffs.
While players were drafted to fill teams with care,
By now in December, less vic’tries were there.

The children were nestled all snug in their beds,
While visions of workhorse backs danced in their heads.
And mamma in her ‘kerchief, and I without clothes,
Checked for the scores I’ve now learned to loathe.

If Your Goal Was To Miss The Playoffs, The Best Strategy Was To Draft Tom Brady – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 14 Update

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

Short Version – FGW is the likely number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team. dFGW is FGW adjusted for ADP.

Tom Brady has spent the last 5 years making fantasy managers question their sanity as they hesitate to draft a 40/41/42/43/44 year old quarterback.

Now, finally, in his Age 45 season, it seems like he’s lost a step.

If You Want To Be A Hall-Of-Fame Quarterback, Just Throw To Davante Adams – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 13 Update

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

Short Version – FGW is the likely number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team. dFGW is FGW adjusted for ADP.

For those following along with FGW since 2021 – or those who owned Davante Adams last year – you know he was almost the MVP fantasy football last year. Cooper Kupp was better in the regular season, Ja’Marr Chase was better in the playoffs, but Davante came through super hard in both parts of teh year.

On the Fantom Sports Fantasy podcast back between Week 10 and Week 11, I asked host Branden Timm whether he would want Justin Jefferson or Stefon Diggs the rest of the way. At the time, I thought that was a effectively the same question as asking “Who’s your WR1 for the rest of the season?”

I was clearly disrespecting Davante.

Josh Jacobs and Jalen Hurts Were The Steals of 2022 – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 12 Update

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

Short Version – FGW is the likely number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team. dFGW is FGW adjusted for ADP.

If you look at the top 12 performers of 2022 so far, and check which rounds they were drafted on average, the list goes like this:

2nd Round, 3rd Round, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 5th, 5th, 1st, 2nd.

Those two fifth rounders: Josh Jacobs and Jalen Hurts.

I’m Afraid The Correct First Pick Was KELCE, Yes, KELCE was the correct answer – Fantasy Games Won (FGW) Week 11 Update

What is FGW? Go back to the shadows, I mean Go Back To Week 1.

Short Version – FGW is the likely number of Head-to-Head fantasy football matchups a player has won his team. dFGW is FGW adjusted for ADP.

I know, I know, the season isn’t over yet. But some teams are starting to get eliminated – so the leader after Week 11 is a big deal, and Kelce has a big lead.

And Kelce rarely made it to Round 3 in any draft, so the only guarantee to get Kelce was to take him when you had the chance. 1st overall couldn’t wait for him in Round 2.

It’s also possible I’m not making any sense. Like many of us, I’m logging in from an unusual location with way more blood relatives within 100 yards than is typical. I will leverage the extra calories from Thanksgiving to plow through and properly channel any additional family-induced gratuitous hot takes.